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Inside the Numbers- Jets vs Lions
New York Jets Salary Cap Page

Inside the Numbers: Jets vs Lions

Something tells me this is not going to be very pretty for the offense….

Passing Offense

Quarterback

Comp % YPC YPA TPA % IPA% SPA% 20+PA%
Sanchez 56.41 14.68 8.28 2.56 2.56 2.56 12.82
Lions 61.64 10.76 6.63 4.74 3.45 9.91 8.19
Differential -8.48% 36.42% 24.85% -45.92% -25.64% -74.14% 56.55%

Analysis: A good bounce back game for Sanchez who saw his numbers almost all improve over last weeks debacle. He continues his strong performance in the down the field throwing, this time posting a 56% and 36% above norm numbers in the 20+ and YPC category. The big difference in results came from his completion percentage only being a -8.5% compared to the double digit negatives of last week. More completions drives the YPA higher and does help the team get into more manageable situations. For the second week in a row the offensive line was dominant in pass protection. They held the Packers to about 50% below their normal sack totals last week and held the Lions to 74% below their norms this week. When you give Sanchez unhurried time in the pocket it is only going to benefit him.

Receivers

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Edwards 3 78 26.0 74
Lions(WR 1) 5.57 70.7 12.7 26
Differential -46.14% 10.31% 104.81% 184.62%

Analysis:Edwards bounced back nicely with his huge 74 yard score that put him in a position to go into the stratosphere from a statistical standpoint in the YPR and long reception categories. With free agency impending for Edwards I do believe that there has to be some thought in his head about why he can not get more passes his way. He is the most consistent receiver on the team, but his reception totals are almost always below the average for a number 1 and that will cost him money on the open market. It could also cost the Jets a win. I just wonder if the Jets feel he is being used perfectly and there would be little added return by throwing more to him and that is why he does not get more chances most weeks.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Holmes 5 114 22.8 52
Lions (WR 2) 2.4 39.0 16.1 22.6
Differential -105.76% 192.31% 42.06% 130.39%

Analysis: This is finally what the Jets envisioned when they traded for Holmes and felt he and Edwards would essentially give them an unstoppable 1-2 punch. Holmes destroyed the performance standards of the number 2’s, which is what the Jets anticipated would happen since he is so much better than most number 2 targets. The question now is if he can sustain it.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Cotchery 2 29 14.5 18
Lions (WR3) 2.6 31.7 12.3 18.4
Differential -22.80% -8.55% 17.52% -2.33%

Analysis: Cotchery has basically become Brad Smith in the receiving game. It is inexplicable the way he has fallen apart this year. His numbers as a 2 were off the charts awful and now as a 3 he is still coming up below average. In terms of cap space the Jets gain nothing by moving him next season, but he is playing his way off the team. At this point now the Jets have to sit him to keep his targets down because he is actually hampering the passing game.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Keller 4 59 14.75 25
Lions (TE1) 3.0 30.6 10.2 16.4
Differential 33.33% 93.00% 44.75% 52.16%

Analysis: Another in a series of solid games for Keller who is finally living up to the first round expectations. He was able to exploit the Lions defense down the field far more than they are usually attacked as evidenced by the 44.8% increase in YPR. Unlike last week where he should have had more looks, the Jets made perfect use of Keller this week who should be a constant target for Sanchez.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Jets RB’s 8 43 5.4 14
Lions (RB‘s) 4.1 44.9 10.8 22.6
Differential 93.24% -4.15% -50.40% -37.97%

Analysis: For whatever reason the Jets have a terrible scheme for use of the runners. Last year people blamed it on Thomas Jones, but this is just an offensive flaw. The Jets did check down to them a lot this game but the results were terrible. Sanchez often gets the ball there too late and it gives Tomlinson no chance to move. Teams this year have crushed the Lions with plays out of the backfield and the Jets just could not capitalize.

Rushing Offense

APG YPG YPA LNG
Tomlinson 15 55 3.7 10
Lions (RB1) 16.9 88.6 5.3 32
Differential -11.03% -37.90% -30.20% -68.75%

Analysis: This is now three weeks of bad play in a row for LT and you have to call it a trend now. He is not turning the corner as well as he did early in the year and the offensive line is not opening up those holes in the moddle of the line for him to bust through. This had to be a real slap in the face of a team that shouts “ground and pound” as their offensive philosophy as the Lions shut the Jets completely down in this phase of the game.
APG YPG YPA LNG
Greene 10 46 4.6 12
Lions (RB2) 6.1 22.0 3.6 7.1
Differential 62.87% 109.09% 28.38% 68.07%

Analysis:Greene saw his attempts rise this week and his numbers show that he can be more than just a traditional backup if the Jets give him a chance. He does seem to do better after contact than Tomlinson, but Greene also does not look like the same player as last season. Still this was a positive step and another week or two like this and he will force them to give him the ball more.

Passing Defense

Quarterback
Comp % YPC YPA TPA % IPA% SPA% 20+/Att
Stafford 55.56 12.00 6.67 5.56 0.00 5.56 8.33
09/10 Stafford 54.46 10.76 5.86 3.89 4.81 5.95 6.18
Differential 2.01% 13.71% 11.48% 42.81% -100.00% -6.62% 34.88%

Analysis: The streak of dominant pass defense came to an end against Stafford, which is surprising since this was the best play the Jets got out of their two primary corners on the year. Stafford did an excellent job of spreading the ball around and was able to find guys open much further down the field than are his norms. The lack of picks by the Jets defense is becoming a concern. When your offense is in kind of a funk you need turnovers from the defense and they are not forcing them. They had two chances but came up short both times. LB Calvin Pace’s contract is going to become an offseason story if things do not turn around in the pass rush.

Receivers

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Johnson 1 13 13 13
2010 Johnson 5.4 76.9 14.2/td> 30.0
Differential -81.58% -83.09% -8.18% -56.67%

Analysis:All you have to do is look at those first two columns and see the -80% numbers to realize just how great the defense was on this day. It took 7 games but this was finally the return of Revis Island. Revis got tested early and they never went back because he had Johnson covered like a glove. An A+ effort from the star cornerback.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Burleson 7 113 16.1 36
2010 Burleson 3.8 35.2 9.3 17.6
Differential 84.21% 221.02% 74.27% 104.55%

Analysis: Burleson is one of the worst secondary targets in the NFL and the Jets allowed him to look like Jerry Rice. For some reason they chose not to put Antonio Cromartie on him and left Drew Coleman to cover him pretty much the whole day. The bloom is off the Coleman rose. He got lit up like a Christmas tree against Greg Jennings last week until the Jets pulled him from the assignment and this was just an embarrassment. To allow 84% more receptions and 221% more yards in obscene.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
Tight Ends 5 40 8 12
2010 TEs 8.7 80.1 9.2 15.3
Differential -42.59% -50.09% -13.05% -21.52%

Analysis:This was far better than I thought it would be from watching the game. I guess when watching the game you see the bad coverage by Leonhard once or twice and the awful coverage by Smith and think the worst, but nobody realizes just how much Detroit uses their tight ends. To hold them to 40% below their usual reception level is a solid effort from the club.

Rec/G YPG YPR LNG
RBs 6 67 11.2 27
2010 RB’s 7.1 60.7 8.5 23.7
Differential -16.00% 10.35% 31.37% -13.88%

Analysis: The Lions are one of the better screen teams in the NFL and the Jets had their first poor game in this regard as neither David Harris nor Bart Scott could keep containment against these players. The stats could have been far worse for the Jets had Best caught a bomb down the sidelines where he was wide open. It will be interesting if other teams think they can now find a flaw in what had been a flawless year covering the backfield.

Run Defense

APG YPG YPA LNG
Best 16 48 3.0 17
2010 Best 23.08 13.13 -8.08 14.40
Differential 23.08% 13.13% -8.08% 14.40%

Analysis:This is three weeks in a row against bad running teams so its tough to gauge if the Jets run defense is getting slightly worse of if they are just playing to a certain number regardless of opposition. Best did break off a run hat was 14% longer than his norm and that is becoming an issue with the defense, but I think the coach will take one big run and a bunch of non gainers most weekends. The team plays a better run attack next week so we’ll get a better idea of just where they are when that game is over.

Final Thoughts

A weird game for certain. The offense put up dominant numbers, but they were all essentially on 4 drives, including the overtime drive, with nothing else of merit for the day. The defense was ok. Certainly not great and if they plan on allowing 20 points a game its going to be hard for the Jets to win with such an inconsistent offense. On offense the Jets need to fix their running game and start throwing the passes set for Cotchery to both Keller and Edwards who are both far more productive players. Defensively the Jets need another cornerback. Teams are doing exactly what they did in 2008 against the Jets when they decided to pick on Dwight Lowery every play, except now its on Coleman. Sometimes a staff can get one or two games out of a player before the league catches on and that is what is happening with Coleman. The same thing happened with Eric Smith at starting Safety last year. Expect a chance soon.

Final Grades:

Santonio Holmes: A
Dustin Keller: A
Braylon Edwards: B+
Offensive Line: B+
Mark Sanchez: B+
Defensive Line: B
Corners: B+
Safeties: B
Shonn Greene: B
Linebackers: B
Jerricho Cotchery: C-
LaDainian Tomlinson: D

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