3rd And Short Playcalling
I think everyone was stunned at the play selection early in the Patriots game when the Jets were on the verge of extending drives, but instead chose to pass the football with no luck. I wanted to look into that specific playcall, of 3rd and 2 or shorter and see exactly what the rest of the NFL does in the situation and where the Jets fit into it. For any stats in the post please be aware that any rush by a QB was considered a dropback attempt where the player avoided the sack behind the line. While that is not totally accurate (for example Brady's run I know is a planned sneak) that's the best I could do.
The Jets pass on about 82% of their 3rd and short opportunities, 4th highest in the league. It's strange because last season they moved away from that and were throwing only 62% of the time which was still above average but most closer to the norm. The only teams with more dropbacks this year are the Panthers, Bears, and Buccaneers. Carolina doesn't even have a rushing attempt, though their QB is their best athlete and runs with the football. Cutler does complete 62.5% of his attempts, so I guess that's acceptable. Tampa is atrocious with only 5 pass completions to rank 22nd. Sanchez ranks 20th with 44.4% of the dropbacks resulting in a completion.
It is just little things like this that make you wonder if the Jets could tweak their situational playcalling just a bit to help the team out. In fairness before this game Sanchez I believe was 4 for 5 so maybe they thought he had been playing better, though only 47% of the plays in each of the last two years on 3rd and short where the ball stayed in his hands after the snap resulted in a completion. Maybe the percentage will just even itself out by the end of the year anyway.
Still, a run here and there might open things up more for the receivers who are being covered tightly on 3rd and it probably is a higher success play than the Sanchez keeper right now. Even extending a drive or two might make all the difference between a 2-3 and 3-2 record. Just something to throw out there for consideration.
|Team||Run||Pass||%Pass Plays||Completions||Comp %|
I could live with the passing if they didnt use shotgun/empty backfields so much and if they didnt throw so short. Other teams will run in those situation and leak a TE out on the other side of the field and get a big gain. Others will streak a wideout while the safety bites on a playfake. But to call 3-5 yard timing patterns with an inaccurate QB and defenses that sit on the routes is foolish. If you need 2 and plan on throwing for only 3 or 4 the run is a much more efficient play. There is no reward in a 3 yard pass attempt to chance it with a QB that completes 55% of his throws.
I notice that a high number of pass plays are out routes. I used to play corner and I can't tell you the amount of routes I jumped for a pick. But with that i would get killed on a juke and got turned. Anyway, what do you think about that? Do you notice an unusal amount of out patterns and alot of them are incompletes. I'm not understanding why they're not throwing more slants and posts. I swear the best route in football is the quick slant and it couls be audibled alot for gains..
Any ideas? Facts?