Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_benchmark::start() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php on line 162

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_language::get() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/installation.class.inc.php on line 32

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_language::get_instance() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/language.class.inc.php on line 77

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php:162) in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/language.class.inc.php on line 182

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_language::load() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/installation.class.inc.php on line 33

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_setting::read() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php on line 305

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::query() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/setting.class.inc.php on line 67

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connection() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 151

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connect() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 81

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::connect() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::factory() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 436

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::parseDSN() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 379

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::loadClass() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 388

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 330

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 389

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::parseDSN() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2353

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::setOptions() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 395

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 396

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 437

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 442

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 36

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 1911

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::fileExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 1911

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::loadClass() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 1918

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 330

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 1937

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1222

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1227

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 154

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 4049

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 4147

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1608

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1222

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1227

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1642

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1647

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1655

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2642

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::isResultCommon() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2648

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 162

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_language::get() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php on line 315

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_language::get_instance() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/language.class.inc.php on line 77

Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php:162) in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/language.class.inc.php on line 182

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_language::load() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php on line 316

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_setting::read_all() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/core.inc.php on line 323

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connection() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/setting.class.inc.php on line 90

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connect() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 81

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2642

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::isResultCommon() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2648

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/setting.class.inc.php on line 92

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm.php on line 603

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm.php on line 603

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm.php on line 603

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm.php on line 603

Strict Standards: Declaration of HTML_QuickForm_hidden::accept() should be compatible with HTML_QuickForm_element::accept(&$renderer, $required = false, $error = NULL) in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm/hidden.php on line 93

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm.php on line 603

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/HTML/QuickForm.php on line 603

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_benchmark::mark() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/comment.php on line 153

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_query::add_element() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/list.class.inc.php on line 309

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_query::get_instance() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/query.class.inc.php on line 132

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_comment::identifier() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/comment.php on line 166

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::call_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/comment.class.inc.php on line 377

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::container() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 52

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Declaration of gentlesource_module_smiley::administration() should be compatible with gentlesource_module_common::administration() in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/module/gentlesource_module_smiley/gentlesource_module_smiley.class.inc.php on line 261

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_module::load_module() should not be called statically in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/module.class.inc.php on line 189

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_time::current_timestamp() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/commentlist.class.inc.php on line 104

Strict Standards: mktime(): You should be using the time() function instead in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/time.class.inc.php on line 28

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::fields() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/commentlist.class.inc.php on line 116

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::query() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/list.class.inc.php on line 451

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connection() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 151

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connect() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 81

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1222

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1227

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 154

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 4049

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 4049

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 4049

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 4147

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1608

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1222

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1227

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1642

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1647

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1642

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1647

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1642

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1647

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 1655

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::classExists() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2642

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::isResultCommon() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2.php on line 2648

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 162

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::query() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/list.class.inc.php on line 455

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connection() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 151

Strict Standards: Non-static method c5t_database::connect() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/database.class.inc.php on line 81

Strict Standards: Non-static method MDB2::areEquals() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/mysql.php on line 563

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1118

Strict Standards: Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context in /home/jason423/public_html/comments/comment_script_1.3.1/include/library/MDB2/Driver/Datatype/Common.php on line 1222

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Analyzing the Draft: Stephen Hill
New York Jets Salary Cap Page

Analyzing the Draft: Stephen Hill

In part 2 of our series we move on to analyzing the pick of WR Stephen Hill, whom the Jets selected with the 43rd pick in the draft. To say I hated this pick would be the understatement of the year. The Jets are comparing Hill to Calvin Johnson of the Detroit Lions and I sure hope they are right in their analysis because they most likely threw three draft picks away on Hill.

In round 2 of the draft the average score for a player is 468 with a median of 343, so we are still looking at above average selections in this period of the draft. Some players that would be considered average choices for the round would be G Deuce Lutui and LB Paul Posluszny. The best selection in the round is G/C Andre Gurode who has been elected to 5 Pro Bowls and played in 151 games to score a 3042. The first thing to consider is the value of the trade that the Jets used to move up. The Jets original section of the draft, which I took to be picks 42-52, saw an average of 484 with a median of 386, both higher than the round average due to being in the front half of the round. By trading up all of 4 slots the Jets gained 28 points in average score, growing from a 484 to a 512. The median jumped 9 points to a 395. So essentially they were choosing from the same talent pool. They gave up a 5th and 7th rounder to make the move. The average score for a 5th rounder is 172 and for a 7th is 98, so I would say the Jets overpaid to make the trade, which means they must have really liked Hill. Those two picks represented about a 6% chance of getting one of the top 10 players in the draft. The odds of a 2nd rounder being a top 10 pick is 15.5%, so the only real justification for the move is if Hill is the goods since they already had almost the same opportunity in the 2nd round prior to the trade.

The value of the trade is compounded by the fact that the wide receiver position is a terrible performer in the round. The average score for a WR is only 391, 16% lower than the average player score in the round. The median is 239 so well over 50% of the players selected at the position bust. The high score for the position is Chad Ochocinco selected 36th overall. His score was a 2181. Anquan Boldin and Greg Jennings, both drafted in the low 50's scored a 1686 and 1143 respectively, with Jennings likely on the rise. For the Jets range in the draft the median falls to 208 and the median a disastrous 124. The WRs in the range account for 35% of all receivers selected.

For the most part some of the better picks have come in the second half of the round- Jennings, Boldin, Steve Smith (of Giant not Panther fame), and Vincent Jackson so its not that all the talent is gone in picks 33-40, but Hill carried a 1st round grade so I would imagine its more unlikely that he would fall into the category of the surprising slip through the crack player like Jennings. Hopefully Hill can be one of those guys.

The odds of finding the receiver you would be happy with is about 17.5% for the round. So in that respect there is as much value here as in their first round pick. The problem is there is no middle ground at all. I mentioned a Calvin Pace type career for Quinton Coples as a normal projection. The normal projection here is Sinorice Moss. Since this period ended DeSean Jackson, Eddie Royal, and Jordy Nelson would add to the "hit" total. 16 WRs were drafted in total from 08-10 so that would equate to 18.8%, meaning the last few years would seem to be normal. For the Jets range only 1 player has stood out- Sidney Rice, who was a 1 season wonder in Minnesota when Favre was the QB. The only other above average selection was Jerry Porter who scored a 347. I think that the ultra low productivity in the range is a bit fluky, since there were some good players right outside it, but it may also say something about the scouting process the NFL uses to grade players. Maybe there is a thought that things have changed since all three 2nd rounders selected last season had very solid statistical seasons for rookies at the position.

I bumped the projections on Coples due to the Jets first round success. Does that occur here? Absolutely not. The Jets average 2nd round selection has scored a meager 368, or 21% below the average selection. The median is a 323 so it's right around 50% below average players. The only players to score above the round average were CB Justin Miller, who did it based on special teams, G Randy Thomas, and LB David Harris. The worst player was DE Dorian Boose who only scored a 64. QB Kellen Clemens was the worst pick of the current regime, with a score of 117. The Jets lone 2nd rounder since 2007 has been T Vlad Duccasse who may overtake Boose as the worst 2nd round selection so there is nothing in the Jets scouting process that would make you think this has a chance of being a good selection.

I guess if I had to put a number on it you would say that Hill has about a 10% chance of being the "boom" player and most likely the boom is more likely of the Chris Chambers variety. Given the Jets history and the poor overall nature of the WR position I think I would be happy with a Joe Jurevicius or Peerless Price type of career. There is probably a greater than 50% chance that this selection has Bethel Johnson or Dwayne Jarrett written all over it. I certainly can't see that justifying a trade. For what it's worth the average grades for tackles and guards were 621 and 539, both big needs for the team as well.
Name Score
Sidney Rice  1031%
Jerry Porter  347%
Robert Ferguson  252%
Andre' Davis  218%
Reche Caldwell  164%
Patrick Johnson  151%
Kevin Lockett  131%
Mark Bradley  117%
Tim Carter  117%
Taylor Jacobs  95%
Bethel Johnson  85%
Dwayne Jarrett  79%
Sinorice Moss  76%
Joey Kent  46%
Jerome Simpson NA
Eddie Royal NA
James Hardy NA
Arrelious Benn NA
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Comments (1)

Like you, Jason, I cringed at this move. I understand the desire to give Martinez weapons to work with, but this reminds me of the discussion we had about Revis. " Yes, this guy is good, but is he 'give the farm away' good?"

If anything, I had hoped the Jets would trade DOWN and acquire MORE picks that way.
#1 - Jazz - 04/29/2012 - 19:10
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